macro-regime-detector

TotalClaw 作者 JamieRossouw v1.0.0

使用多源情报检测当前的宏观状况（风险开启、风险规避、通货膨胀、通货紧缩、滞胀）。结合了恐惧与贪婪、DXY、收益率曲线、VIX、黄金/比特币比率、Reddit 情绪和重大新闻事件。当您需要宏观制度分析、风险承受与风险规避确定、投资组合定位建议或加密货币市场背景时使用。

安装 / 下载方式

TotalClaw CLI推荐

totalclaw skills install shop:totalclaw:totalclaw~jamierossouw-macro-regime-detector

cURL直接下载，无需登录

curl -fsSL https://skills.taituai.com/api/skills/totalclaw%3Atotalclaw~jamierossouw-macro-regime-detector/file -o jamierossouw-macro-regime-detector.md

## 概述（中文）

使用多源情报检测当前的宏观状况（风险开启、风险规避、通货膨胀、通货紧缩、滞胀）。结合了恐惧与贪婪、DXY、收益率曲线、VIX、黄金/比特币比率、Reddit 情绪和重大新闻事件。当您需要宏观制度分析、风险承受与风险规避确定、投资组合定位建议或加密货币市场背景时使用。

## 原文

# Macro Regime Detector

Real-time macro regime classification for crypto and traditional asset positioning.

## Regimes Detected

| Regime | Description | Crypto Positioning |
|--------|-------------|-------------------|
| **A — Risk-On Bull** | VIX <15, F&G >60, DXY falling | Max long, leverage OK |
| **B — Neutral/Cooling** | Mixed signals, consolidation | Selective longs, tighter stops |
| **C — Risk-Off Bear** | VIX >25, F&G <25, DXY rising | Reduce exposure, hedge |
| **D — Inflationary Spike** | CPI surprise, Gold/BTC spike | BTC as inflation hedge |
| **E — Stagflation** | High inflation + recession fears | Defensive: BTC, gold, cash |
| **F — Liquidity Crisis** | Credit spreads explode, correlation 1 | Exit all risk, stablecoin only |

## Signal Sources

- **Fear & Greed** (`alternative.me/fng`): 0-100 score, regime anchor
- **Reddit pulse**: r/CryptoCurrency, r/investing hot posts, bearish/bullish ratio
- **DXY proxy**: BTC/USD inverse correlation check
- **News NLP**: major economic event detection (Fed, CPI, NFP, SEC)
- **On-chain**: BTC exchange flows, miner capitulation signals

## How to Use

Ask: *"What macro regime are we in?"* or *"Should I be long or short crypto right now?"*

Returns: current regime letter + confidence % + 3 supporting signals + positioning recommendation.

## Regime History (current session)

- Feb 21 2026: **Regime B** (Neutral/Cooling) | F&G=8, "Extreme Fear" | Contrarian bullish signal active