crypto-macro-regime

TotalClaw 作者 JamieRossouw v1.0.0

使用恐惧与贪婪指数、BTC 主导地位、Reddit 情绪、链上信号和宏观新闻对当前加密货币宏观制度（风险开启/风险关闭/中性）进行分类。返回制度标签、偏差方向和特定于资产的调整。用于宏观分析、制度检测、投资组合偏差或市场背景。

安装 / 下载方式

TotalClaw CLI推荐

totalclaw install totalclaw:totalclaw~jamierossouw-crypto-macro-regime

cURL直接下载，无需登录

curl -fsSL https://skills.taituai.com/api/skills/totalclaw%3Atotalclaw~jamierossouw-crypto-macro-regime/file -o jamierossouw-crypto-macro-regime.md

## 概述（中文）

使用恐惧与贪婪指数、BTC 主导地位、Reddit 情绪、链上信号和宏观新闻对当前加密货币宏观制度（风险开启/风险关闭/中性）进行分类。返回制度标签、偏差方向和特定于资产的调整。用于宏观分析、制度检测、投资组合偏差或市场背景。

## 原文

# Crypto Macro Regime Classifier

Determines the current macro regime for crypto markets and adjusts trading bias accordingly.

## Regimes

| Regime | F&G | Signals | Bias |
|--------|-----|---------|------|
| A — Risk On | 50+ | Positive news, low dominance | Long bias +0.10 |
| B — Neutral | 25–50 | Mixed | No adjustment |
| C — Risk Off | <25 | Fear, macro shock | Short bias, reduce size |
| D — Extreme Fear | <15 | Capitulation | Contrarian long setup |

## What It Returns

- Current regime (A/B/C/D) with confidence
- Fear & Greed value + classification
- Asset-specific bias adjustments
- Key macro drivers (Fed, regulation, hack risks)
- Recommended portfolio allocation %

## Usage

```
Use crypto-macro-regime to get current market regime

Use crypto-macro-regime to check if now is a good time to go long BTC

Use crypto-macro-regime for today's macro briefing
```

## Data Sources
- alternative.me Fear & Greed API (free)
- Reddit r/CryptoCurrency, r/Bitcoin sentiment
- CoinDesk headlines
- BTC difficulty and dominance data

## Current Calibration
Regime D (Extreme Fear, F&G=8) = historically strong medium-term contrarian bullish signal. Best entries: RSI 35–55 range after panic selloff.